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Options library / Level 2 Structure / Strategy 19

Long butterfly for UK investors: the price-target trade, priced in pounds

The cheapest way to say “I think it lands here”. Maximum loss is fixed by construction at a couple of hundred pounds — and the price of that is a payoff which only appears in the last fortnight, and a delivery week you must not still be in.

L2Margin account mandatory
£220.00Net debit on one ICE contract
£225.60Maximum loss, fixed at entry
IVR 50+The entry gate for this structure
Options hub Level 2 gate Long butterfly Bull call spread Greeks and IV Assignment and expiry UK tax and platforms Position sizing
19

Long Butterfly

Three strikes, one target price — a £225.60 bet that pays £768.80 at exactly one number and almost nothing anywhere else
L2 · StructureTarget priceDefined risk — by construction£200–£300 per ICE contract

Prerequisite strategies: you must have traded the long call, the covered call and at least one vertical — the bull call spread is the one this is built from — so that you have granted an option, been assigned once and priced a two-leg spread from a live chain. Clear the Level 2 gate first. Next: the iron butterfly, then the broken wing butterfly at Level 3.

Why this structure exists

Every other structure in this tier expresses a direction. A butterfly expresses a number. It is the cheapest listed way to say “I think this share is 2,100p in a month” and be paid for the precision rather than the direction, and the payoff ratio it offers — 3.41 : 1 below — is the market pricing how unlikely it thinks you are to be right about a specific number.

Mechanically it is two verticals joined at the middle strike: a 2,000/2,100 bull call spread bought, and a 2,100/2,200 bear call spread sold. The first pays you for the move up to your target; the second pays you for the move not continuing past it, and its credit almost funds the first. That is why the whole tent costs £220.00 where the vertical alone costs £355.00.

Why not just buy that vertical? At £355.00 you pay 35.5% of the width, break even at 2,036.06p and stay long everything above 2,100p. The butterfly hands the upside back and cuts the cost to 22.0% of the width and the breakeven to 2,023.12p. If your view is “up”, take the vertical: it wins across an entire half of the price line. If it is genuinely “up, to about here, and then stop” — a share into a level, a bid rumour with a plausible ceiling, a re-rating with an obvious target — the butterfly is the only structure that charges you for one opinion instead of two. The rest of this page is about the two ways it goes wrong: readers hold it for the maximum, which is paid at one price on one afternoon, and readers hold it into delivery, which on a UK contract is physical.

Construction

LegBuy / SellQuantityStrike ruleExpiry ruleTarget deltaPrice
Lower wingBUY (debit)1 contract = 1,000 shares (ICE UK); 100 (US)One strike interval below the body20–45 days; one expiry for all three strikes0.50–0.6053.5p = −£535.00
BodySELL (credit)2 contracts, same expiryExactly at your target priceIdentical to both wings0.20–0.3018.0p × 2 = +£360.00
Upper wingBUY (debit)1 contract, same expiryOne interval above the body, equal spacingIdentical to the lower wing0.05–0.124.5p = −£45.00
NETNet debit4 contracts, 1 : 2 : 12,000 / 2,100 / 2,200, GSK modelled at 2,000p30 days+0.12022.0p = −£220.00

All calls or all puts, never mixed; one underlying, one expiry, equal spacing, middle quantity exactly twice the wings. Break the 1 : 2 : 1 ratio and you have built a ratio spread with undefined risk, which is Level 3 and you are not permitted to hold it. Four inequalities before the order goes in:

  • Net debit ≤ 33% of one wing’s width. £220.00 of £1,000 is 22.0%, a payoff ratio of 3.41 : 1. Above a third, the ratio stops compensating for how narrow the profit zone is.
  • Profit zone ≥ 1 standard deviation. 2,023.12p to 2,176.88p is 153.76p against a 30-day one-sigma move of 126.1p — 1.22 SD. Narrower and you are buying a lottery ticket.
  • Body inside +1 SD of spot. 2,100p is +0.79 SD. Beyond one sigma, the tent is priced for a move you also have to be right about.
  • Both wings genuinely quoted. The 2,200 wing costs 4.5p, £45.00, a fifth of the debit — and it is the only thing between you and undefined risk. Never leg it in last, never sell it later.
Net debit
£220.00
Max loss
£225.60
Max profit
£768.80
Breakevens
2,023.12p / 2,176.88p
Buying power
£220.00
Risk type
Defined by construction

Formulas: max loss = debit × contract size + opening commission. Max profit = (wing width − debit) × contract size − both commissions. Breakevens = lower wing + debit + round-trip costs per share, and upper wing − debit − those costs. Modelled at entry: a 34.3% chance of finishing anywhere inside the profit zone, a 56.0% chance of the full £225.60 loss, and a 4.5% chance of finishing within 10p of the body — which is where the £768.80 lives.

Payoff — long GSK September 2,000 / 2,100 / 2,200 call butterfly, £ P&L per 1,000-share contract
£ P&L per contract (1,000 GSK shares) GSK share price (pence) +£768.80 +£500 +£250 £0 −£225.60 1,900 2,000 2,100 2,200 2,300 +1 SD 2,126p Long 1 × 2,000 = spot Short 2 × 2,100 Long 1 × 2,200 Max profit +£768.80 at exactly 2,100p At expiry Value today, 30 DTE Value at 5 DTE Breakevens 2,023.1p and 2,176.9p Max loss −£225.60 outside 2,000p–2,200p

The tent is an expiry object and the two dashed curves are the trade you actually own. With 30 days left the position can be worth at most +£55.61, and that only at 2,096p; with five days left, at most +£350.73, at 2,099p. The £768.80 peak requires GSK to be sitting on 2,100p at 16:30 on one specific Friday, and there is a 4.5% chance of it landing within 10p of that. Everything on this page follows from the gap between the solid line and the dashed ones.

Entry criteria

GateRuleReason
IV rank / IV percentileIVR 50 or above. Below 30, buy a debit vertical for the same view insteadA butterfly is short vega, so dear premium makes the tent cheap. Modelled, this structure costs 25.14p at 14% implied volatility and 16.08p at 36% — the payoff ratio moves from 2.87 : 1 to 4.98 : 1 for an identical picture
Days to expiry20–45, never 60+. This structure does not use the tier’s 21-day time stopThe tent is a fixed band; the distribution around it is not. The 30-day tent’s 153.76p zone is 1.22 SD wide, but the 60-day tent’s 161.76p zone covers only 0.91 SD, so the chance of finishing inside falls from 34.3% to 29.6%. The longer tent is cheaper — 18.0p against 22.0p — and that discount is exactly what it buys
Strike selectionBody at your written target, inside +1 SD; wings one equal interval either side; profit zone ≥ 1 SD wideThe body is the forecast. If you cannot name the number, this is the wrong structure
Cost disciplineNet debit ≤ 33% of one wing’s widthFixes the payoff ratio at 3 : 1 or better before you look at a chart. £220.00 of £1,000 is 22.0%
LiquiditySpread ≤ 10% of mid on each of the four contracts; open interest ≥ 100 at all three strikes; one combo order10% on each leg costs £94.00 round-trip: 42.7% of the debit and 8.4× the commission
UnderlyingA liquid FTSE 100 name with a three-strike ladder around your target; the index itself if the chain is thinICE UK single-stock series are physically delivered over 1,000 shares; the index option is cash-settled at £10 a point
Event calendarNo results, capital markets day, index review or ex-dividend date inside the windowA butterfly bets that nothing happens except your number. GSK’s next ex-date is 12 November 2026, which is why this is the September series

Do not enter if: IV rank is below 30 — the tent costs a third more, the ratio falls under 3 : 1, and you are short vega into the expansion a low IV rank makes likely; IV rank is high because of a binary event in the window, which is volatility telling you the share will not sit on your number; the debit exceeds a third of the wing width; any of the four contracts fails the liquidity screen, or the platform will not take the structure as one order; you are in a cash account, because the order is rejected before it reaches the exchange; or you cannot write down the price and the date first.

Debit or credit: the same tent, two structures

A long call butterfly and an iron butterfly at the same three strikes are the same picture, one bought and one sold. Put–call parity keeps them within a rounding of each other: the £220.00 debit and the £775.00 credit sum to 99.5p of the 100p width, the difference being the present-value discount plus the 0.5p tick. IV rank does not pick between them the way it picks between a bull call and a bull put spread. Execution and tax do.

 Long call butterfly (debit) — this pageIron butterfly (credit)
Legs on GSK at 2,000pBuy 2,000 call 53.5p, sell 2 × 2,100 call 18.0p, buy 2,200 call 4.5pSell 2,100 call 18.0p and 2,100 put 111.0p, buy 2,200 call 4.5p and 2,000 put 47.0p
Cash at entryPay £220.00Receive £775.00
Max profit / max loss£768.80 / £225.60£763.80 / £236.20
Breakevens2,023.12p and 2,176.88p2,023.62p and 2,176.38p
Buying power used£220.00 (the debit)£225.00 (width − credit)
Early-assignment exposureTwo short calls, in the money only above 2,100pTwo short legs, one of which is always in the money
Day-one taxable gain£360.00 (two 2,100 calls granted)£1,290.00 (2,100 call and put granted) — 166% of the credit

For a UK reader the last two rows decide it. The iron butterfly always has one short leg in the money, so on an American-style physically delivered ICE series it is exposed to early assignment from day one, and it books £1,290.00 of chargeable gain on the day it is opened against a £763.80 maximum profit. The all-call version grants two out-of-the-money options for £360.00 and cannot be assigned until GSK is above 2,100p. Same tent, a third of the tax event: on a UK contract build the butterfly from calls above spot or puts below it, and reach for the iron version only where the underlying is cash-settled.

Greeks at entry and how they evolve

Greek (net, per structure)Entry: 30 DTE, 2,000p15 DTE, unchanged5 DTE, unchanged+1 SD (2,126p) at 15 DTE−1 SD (1,874p) at 15 DTE
Delta+0.120 (120 shares)+0.242+0.451−0.099+0.068
Gamma−0.00069−0.00026+0.00501−0.00317+0.00138
Theta+£1.60/day+£0.17/day−£14.25/day+£9.76/day−£3.34/day
Vega−£5.01/pt−£0.92/pt+£6.04/pt−£12.94/pt+£4.37/pt

Black–Scholes at 22% implied volatility, 4% rates and no dividend inside the window — GSK’s Q2 2026 shares went ex on 13 August 2026 and the Q3 ex-date is 12 November 2026, both outside the September series. Per 1,000-share contract. At the body the numbers are far larger: with GSK on 2,100p the structure marks 38.90p at 15 DTE with theta at +£10.85 a day and vega at −£14.71 a point, and 58.18p at 5 DTE with theta at +£35.38 a day.

Vega decides the entry; gamma decides the exit. Read the vega row across: the structure is short volatility everywhere near the body and turns long volatility only if GSK falls away. Vega changes sign between 1,955p and 1,960p — a 2.1% fall — and theta flips with it between 1,960p and 1,965p. That is where the position changes character. Above 1,960p you own a decaying, premium-selling structure that wants nothing to happen; below it, a long-volatility lottery ticket that needs a rally to survive. Readers who watch the share drift the wrong way rarely notice they are now in the opposite trade.

Then gamma. Mildly negative for the first fortnight — −0.00069 at entry, −0.00026 at 15 days — it turns violent at the body near expiry: −0.00369 with 15 days left, −0.01207 with five, −0.03298 with one. On the final day a 20p move away from the body costs £60.43 of mark, and delta swings from +0.585 at 2,080p to −0.598 at 2,120p across 40p. Holding a butterfly to expiry is therefore a gamma decision, not a patience one: the last £275 of the £768.80 is collected by standing on a knife edge for one afternoon, in a contract that then physically delivers.

UK worked example — ICE Futures Europe, 1,000 shares per contract, physically delivered

GSK modelled at 2,000p, and you think the autumn takes it to 2,100p and stops

GSK plc traded either side of 2,000p on the LSE in mid-August 2026. The ICE Futures Europe GSK option is quoted in pence per share, one contract confers rights over 1,000 shares, it is American style and physically delivered, the tick is 0.5p (£5.00 a contract), and the September series stops trading at 16:30 London on Friday 18 September 2026. One penny of option price is £10 of contract value. Modelled at 2,000p spot, 22% implied volatility, 4% rates, 30 days, fills rounded to the tick.

The trade, one four-contract combo order on Wednesday 19 August 2026: buy 1 × GSK September 2,000 call at 53.5p, sell 2 × September 2,100 calls at 18.0p, buy 1 × September 2,200 call at 4.5p.

Long 2,000 call (delta 0.533):53.5p × 1,000 = −£535.00
Short 2 × 2,100 calls (delta 0.245 each):18.0p × 2 × 1,000 = +£360.00
Long 2,200 call (delta 0.077):4.5p × 1,000 = −£45.00
Net debit:22.0p = £220.00
Commission, four contracts (IBKR UK £1.00 + £0.37 exchange + £0.03 clearing each):£5.60 in, £5.60 out
Breakevens (2,000p + 22.0p + 1.12p costs / 2,200p − 22.0p − 1.12p):2,023.12p and 2,176.88p
MAX PROFIT (£1,000.00 − £220.00 − £11.20), needs GSK at exactly 2,100p:£768.80
MAX LOSS = debit + opening commission:£225.60

Branch A — GSK 2,100p on 3 September, 15 days left. Dead right, far too early.

Sell to close:39.0p × 1,000 − £5.60 = £384.40
Profit:+£158.80 — 20.7% of the maximum, with the share exactly on target
ACTION:The £440.00 target has not fired. Hold; theta is now +£10.85 a day in your favour.

Branch B — GSK still 2,100p on Monday 14 September, four days left. Same price, eleven days later.

Sell to close:62.0p × 1,000 − £5.60 = £614.40
Profit:+£388.80 — 50.6% of the maximum, on no move at all from Branch A
ACTION:Profit target (2× the debit, a 44.0p mark) fires anywhere above 2,045.5p with four days left. Close; every further day is bought with gamma of −0.0145.

Branch C — GSK 1,965p on 3 September, 15 days left. The share has gone nowhere.

Sell to close:16.0p × 1,000 − £5.60 = £154.40
Loss:−£71.20 — 31.6% of the £225.60 maximum
ACTION:No-progress time stop fired — at 15 DTE GSK is below the 2,023.12p breakeven. Close; keep £154.40 of the £220.00.

Branch D — GSK 2,260p on 3 September. Right on direction, wrong on the ceiling: the branch a vertical wins and this structure loses.

Sell to close:12.0p × 1,000 − £5.60 = £114.40
Loss:−£111.20; the 2,000/2,100 bull call spread alone would be marking 98.0p of its full 100p width, +£619.40
ACTION:Traded through the upper wing. Thesis stop fired — close, and do not chase it by rolling the tent higher.

Branch E — GSK pinned at 2,100p on 18 September and you let it settle. The branch with the stamp duty and the naked short in it.

Exercise the long 2,000 call by 18:30:pay 2,000p × 1,000 = £20,000.00 for 1,000 shares
SDRT at 0.5% of the consideration:£100.00
Assigned on both 2,100 calls:deliver 2,000 shares at 2,100p — you hold 1,000
Overnight position:short 1,000 GSK shares, £21,000 of uncovered exposure
Closing on 16 September instead (2 DTE, 72.5p):£493.80, no cash call, no SDRT, no short

Branch E is the whole argument. At 2,100p on the last afternoon the short calls are exactly at the money, so you must decide whether to exercise the 2,000 call before you know whether you have been assigned on two, one or neither. Assigned on both, you are short 1,000 shares over a weekend. On one, you hold 1,000 shares you did not want and paid £100 of stamp duty on. On neither, you have exercised into £21,000 of stock. No version of that can be planned for, which is what pin risk means.

On the FTSE 100 index instead — £10 per index point, European, cash-settled at the EDSP — the same tent carries no assignment and no SDRT, which is the venue to use if you intend to hold one late. On a US chain a contract is 100 shares and the gain is still computed in sterling on each disposal date: a $2.00 butterfly costs $200, £147.58 at GBP/USD 1.3552; close it for $6.00 with the rate at 1.4000 and the proceeds are £428.57. The dollar profit is 200%, but the chargeable gain is £280.99 against the £295.16 an unchanged rate would have given — £14.17 of currency, before the conversion spread, on a trade whose whole edge is a couple of hundred pounds.

This is a single, hand-picked, favourable scenario. It is not a typical or expected outcome. Every premium is modelled from Black–Scholes at the stated inputs and rounded to the exchange tick rather than taken from a live chain, and real ICE UK quotes on a three-strike structure are materially wider than the screen used here. Past performance, including any illustrative example shown here, is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Management and adjustment

TriggerDiagnosisActionDo NOT do this
Body reached, 15+ days leftRight, early: the mark is 39.0p, 20.7% of the maximum, because the tent has not formedHold to the target and let theta work — +£10.85 a day at the body, +£35.38 by 5 DTETake the £158.80 out of relief. You paid for the last fortnight; this is the fortnight
Stalls below the lower breakevenThe forecast has not happened and there is no time left for itClose at the 15-day gate for the residual — £154.40 at 1,965p against £0 if it expires there“Give it a chance”. A butterfly not near the body inside two weeks is a decaying option
Trades through the upper wingRight on direction, wrong on the number; every further penny hurtsClose. At 2,260p with 15 days left it marks £114.40 and is falling towards £0Roll the tent up — at 2,100p, 15 DTE that means selling at £390.00 to pay £241.35 for a new trade plus £11.20 on eight contracts
IV expands after entryYou are short vega: −£14.71 a point at the bodyNothing. At 2,100p, 15 DTE, 22% to 30% cuts the mark from £390.00 to £295.00 — inside the loss already agreedBuy a second one “now it is cheaper”. Tents are cheap in a spike because the share will not sit still
IV collapses after entryThe best case: at 2,100p, 15 DTE, 22% to 16% lifts the mark from £390.00 to £500.00Check the target — a vol collapse fires it days before the calendar suggestsHold for the peak. The vega gift is realised on the close, nowhere else
Ex-dividend date in the windowAbove 2,100p with the short calls’ extrinsic below the dividend, assignment is rational for the holderAssume assignment on both bodies; close the business day before the ex-dateLeave it. You learn from the overnight statement, holding 2,000 delivered shares you did not fund
Assigned early on one bodyShort 1,000 GSK; the 2,000 call covers it and the 2,200 wing is looseExercise the 2,000 call to deliver, or close the lot in one order. Either way it is overBuy the shares in the market — 0.5% SDRT on the higher price, and you still hold a short call
Tempted by the upper wingThe 2,200 call looks like dead money once the share is near the bodyNothing. It is the only thing making this defined riskNever sell it. At 2,100p, 15 DTE it raises £78.85 and turns the position into a 1×2 ratio spread with unlimited upside risk you cannot hold

ROLL WHEN — in one case only: the share has arrived at the body with more than 21 days left, your revised target is a different number, and you would open the new butterfly as a fresh trade at today’s prices and IV rank. ROLL TO a new three-strike structure centred on that target, same expiry, as one eight-contract order — then rewrite the maximum loss, because it is now the new debit.

DO NOT ROLL a butterfly out in time and call it one trade. A roll is a close and an open with one ticket over them: you sell convexity you waited a month for and buy a flatter one. The October tent on the same strikes costs 18.0p against September’s 22.0p, and it is cheaper for a reason — September’s 153.76p zone is 1.22 standard deviations wide over 30 days, while October’s 161.76p zone covers only 0.91 over 60, so the chance of finishing inside drops from 34.3% to 29.6%. If you would not open that October butterfly on its own merits, do not acquire it by rolling.

THE CORRECT ACTION IS TO CLOSE, NOT ADJUST, in every case but that one: when the profit target fires, when the 15-day gate fires, when the share trades through either wing, when an ex-dividend date appears in the window, and always before the last trading day. A butterfly has no defence because there is nothing to defend with — all four contracts are load-bearing, and any adjustment that raises cash from one either doubles the risk or removes the definition. It has an exit, and the exit is the strategy.

Exit rules

  • Profit target: the structure marks twice the net debit — 44.0p, £440.00, closing for +£208.80: 92.6% of the capital at risk and 27.2% of the theoretical maximum. The tier’s usual “50% of maximum profit” rule is unusable here, needing a 61.56p mark this chain cannot produce before about four days to expiry. Modelled, 44.0p is first reachable at 2,074p with 10 days left, 2,047.5p with five, 2,044p with two.
  • Stop: −50% of the net debit — an 11.0p mark, closing for −£121.20 — plus a thesis stop: close if GSK trades through either wing at 2,000p or 2,200p. The mark stop alone is slow here, firing only around 1,925p with 21 days left or 2,265p with 15, by which time half the debit has gone.
  • Time stop: 15 days to expiry — Thursday 3 September 2026 — close if GSK has not traded above the 2,023.12p lower breakeven. Not the tier’s 21-day rule, which would close every butterfly before the part you paid for. At 1,965p on that date the structure still returns £154.40 of the £220.00; two weeks later it returns nothing.
  • Pin and delivery-avoidance exit: be flat by the close on Wednesday 16 September 2026, and unconditionally before 16:30 on Friday 18 September, when the ICE September series stops trading. Never carry a physically delivered butterfly into settlement: Branch E is the alternative — a £20,000 cash call, £100 of SDRT and a 1,000-share short over a weekend.

The last £275 of the £768.80 needs GSK to sit on one number for one afternoon while you are short 0.033 of gamma. If all four rules are silent, do nothing and check the mark against the target tomorrow.

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UK tax and wrapper treatmentA net-debit structure that books a chargeable gain on the day you open it, which is the part nobody expects. Granting an option is a disposal. TCGA 1992 s.144(1) treats the grant as the disposal of an asset, so the £360.00 taken for the two 2,100 calls is a chargeable gain in the tax year the options were granted — not when the butterfly closes, and not netted against the £580.00 paid for the wings (HMRC CG55536). The 2,000 and 2,200 calls are only acquisitions: their cost gives no relief until each closes, lapses or is exercised. Open this in March and close it in May and you have a £360.00 gain in 2026/27 and the wings’ result in 2027/28, with no carry-back — £86.40 of CGT at 24% due on 31 January 2028 on a structure whose entire maximum loss was £225.60. On lapse there is no further consequence for the grantor, while a long wing lapsing is a disposal by exception for traded options under s.144(4), giving an allowable loss (CG12340). On exercise nothing is separate: s.144(3) merges the exercise of the 2,000 call with the share purchase so the premium joins the base cost, and s.144(2) merges the grant of each 2,100 call with the delivery — so an assignment can reopen the year in which you booked the grant. Physical delivery of UK shares carries SDRT at 0.5% of the consideration (STSM113030) — £100.00 in Branch E; a cash-settled FTSE 100 index butterfly carries none. The two 2,100 calls are one series and pool into a single s.104 holding. There is no holding-period test: 18% or 24% turns only on your unused basic-rate band above the £3,000 annual exempt amount, so £768.80 of profit costs £0, £138.38 or £184.51. Wrapper: GIA only. HMRC’s guidance for ISA managers lists “futures or share options” among the things qualifying shares do not include, so there is no ISA route and no broker workaround; a SIPP only where the administrator permits it, which for a granted leg is close to unheard of. Count per cycle: four CGT events for a butterfly closed in the market, eight if you let it settle, with SDRT on top.

Margin and broker reality

A cash account cannot hold this trade, and that is where most UK first attempts die. A butterfly contains two granted options and a cash account has no mechanism to carry one: Interactive Brokers permits only limited purchase and sale of options in a Cash account, so the order is rejected in the preview rather than at the exchange. You need a Margin account, for which IBKR’s published minimum is USD 2,000 or equivalent. Hargreaves Lansdown, AJ Bell and Trading 212 offer no options at all, so this is an Interactive Brokers or Saxo trade.

What you do not need is more money or uncovered-option permission. Both short 2,100 calls are fully covered — one by the 2,000 call, one by the 2,200 call, same expiry and size — so the initial requirement is the net debit and nothing more: buying power falls by £220.00, maintenance is nil, and it cannot rise whatever GSK does. Two conditions attach. It must be recognised as a butterfly, which means a single four-contract combo order; leg it and you briefly hold two naked short calls, which the platform will refuse or margin at several thousand pounds. And it stops being true the moment a leg is assigned: an overnight assignment on both bodies turns £220.00 of requirement into a £21,000 short stock position and a margin call before you can act, which is why the delivery-avoidance exit is a rule and not a preference.

Then treat the ICE bid-ask as a margin-equivalent cost, because on a four-contract structure it dominates. Ten per cent of mid on each leg is £94.00 round-trip against £11.20 of commission — the market maker charges 8.4 times what the broker does, and 42.7% of the debit. One full 0.5p tick against you on each contract is £20.00, 9.1% of the debit, before the share moves a penny. UK single-stock butterflies are only worth building on the few ICE series with genuine three-strike depth; elsewhere the honest answer is that the structure cannot be built at retail size, and the choice is the cash-settled FTSE 100 index or a US chain with the currency exposure that brings.

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The biggest long butterfly mistakeHolding it for the peak. The payoff diagram shows £768.80 at 2,100p, and readers anchor on it, refuse the £208.80 the market is offering, and take the structure into the final session to collect the rest. The mechanism is gamma: at the body with one day left, gamma is −0.033 and a 20p move — less than a normal GSK session — costs £60.43 of mark. You are being paid roughly £96 a day of theta to stand on a spike that the underlying is statistically unlikely to be standing on, in a contract that then delivers 1,000 physical shares against two short calls whose assignment you learn about the following morning. The modelled probability of finishing within 10p of the body is 4.5%. The hard rule, no exceptions at this tier: close at 2× the debit, or by the Wednesday of expiry week, whichever comes first. The peak is a drawing, not a plan.
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Long butterfly golden rules(1) Write the price and the date before you open the chain — the body is the forecast, and if you cannot name it, buy a vertical instead. (2) Check the IV rank first: 50 or above to buy a butterfly, below 30 never. (3) Enter at 20–45 days, never 60-plus — the further-dated tent is cheaper because its fixed profit zone covers only 0.91 of a standard deviation against 1.22 at 30 days. (4) Never pay more than a third of one wing’s width, and never build a profit zone narrower than one standard deviation. (5) Confirm the account is a margin account and place all four contracts as one order. (6) Take twice the debit, close at the 15-day no-progress gate, and never sell the far wing. (7) Log the two granted body calls the day you sell them — £360.00 of chargeable gain dated then, not when the structure closes. (8) Be flat before the last trading day: Branch E costs £20,000 of cash, £100 of SDRT and a naked short over a weekend to earn less than closing on the Wednesday.

Portfolio fit

One structure contributes a net delta of only +0.120 — 120 GSK shares, £2,396 of share-equivalent exposure on £225.60 of risk, or £10.62 per pound at risk. That sounds like leverage until you price the alternative: the 2,000/2,100 vertical carries +0.288 of delta on £357.80 of risk, £16.11. A butterfly is not the leveraged version of a spread, it is the less directional one, and its delta is unstable — +0.242 by 15 days, +0.451 by five, then through zero as it crosses the body. What it contributes is volatility: net vega is −£5.01 a point at entry and −£14.71 at the body, so butterflies belong alongside your iron condors, not filed as directional risk because they happen to be debits.

At the 2% rule a £225.60 maximum loss needs at least £11,280 of account. Six of them on £25,000 put £1,353.60 at risk (5.4% of capital) and use £1,320 of buying power (5.3%), well inside the 25% cap this tier works to — and that is the trap. Butterflies are cheap enough that buying-power discipline never bites, so the binding constraints are the two a margin screen does not show: the combined short vega, which turns six positions into one volatility sale; and the hit rate, because six bets at 34.3% make a book whose modal quarter is four small losses and two moderate wins. Size them on how many small losses in a row you can watch, not on what they cost.

What to trade instead

Simpler, from earlier in this tier: the bull call spread. It costs £135 more and caps lower, but it wins across an entire half of the price line instead of one 154p band, carries one short leg rather than two, and generates three CGT events instead of four. Take it whenever your view is a direction rather than a number — which is most of the time.

Alongside, at this tier: the iron butterfly is the same tent sold for a credit, which suits a cash-settled index far better than a delivered UK share; the iron condor widens the body into a plateau, trading the peak for a much larger profit zone; the long straddle is the opposite bet, that the share will not sit still.

More precise, from the tier above: the broken wing butterfly widens one wing so the structure can open for a credit with no risk on the near side — but the asymmetry is a skew trade, and you must understand why the wide wing is priced as it is before you own one.

Risk statement

Listed options are complex instruments and most retail directional positions lose money. This is educational material about mechanics, margin and UK tax treatment, not a recommendation to trade GSK or anything else, and it takes no account of your circumstances. Every premium here is modelled rather than quoted. If your trading becomes frequent enough to raise the investor-versus-trader question, that is one for a qualified adviser.

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