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Reference · UK 2026/27

What is the State Pension triple lock?

Since 2010, UK State Pensions have risen each year by the "triple lock" — a politically protected formula that's become one of the most expensive commitments in UK government spending. The mechanics matter because they affect every UK pension projection.

4-minute read

The triple lock is the UK government's commitment to increase the State Pension each year by whichever is highest of: (1) CPI inflation, (2) average earnings growth, or (3) 2.5%. It has applied since April 2011 (with a one-year double-lock pause during COVID). In 2026/27 the new State Pension is £237.46 per week (~£12,348/year) for those with 35 qualifying years of NI contributions.

How the triple lock has worked since 2011

YearUprated byState Pension at new rate
April 20223.1% (CPI)£185.15/week (new SP)
April 202310.1% (CPI)£203.85/week
April 20248.5% (earnings)£221.20/week
April 20254.1% (earnings)£230.30/week
April 2026~3.1% (CPI, indicative)~£237.46/week

The choice between CPI and earnings was particularly dramatic in 2022-2024 when inflation outpaced earnings and the lock paid out 10.1% — adding ~£17 a week to every pensioner's payment. By contrast, in steady years (2017-2020) earnings growth or the 2.5% floor often won.

Who gets the triple lock

The lock applies to:

It does not apply to:

The fiscal cost — why politicians keep promising to keep it

The triple lock costs HM Treasury ~£8 billion a year more than if pensions had simply uprated by CPI. Over the last decade, the cumulative cost is estimated at £40-50 billion. The State Pension is now the single largest item in UK government spending, ahead of the NHS by some measures.

Every General Election since 2010 has seen all major parties pledge to keep the triple lock. Pensioners are the most reliable voting bloc in UK elections, and any party proposing to remove the lock has historically lost vote share. As of 2026, the Labour government has reconfirmed the commitment for the duration of Parliament.

What if the lock were removed?If the State Pension had simply followed CPI since 2010, it would now be ~£213/week instead of £237/week — roughly £1,250 less per year per pensioner. The cumulative effect on 13 million pensioners is what makes removing the lock politically toxic.

Why this matters for retirement planning

The triple lock makes the State Pension uniquely valuable as a retirement income building block. Each £1 of State Pension provides effective inflation protection that costs roughly 4-5x more to buy in the private annuity market.

For most UK retirement planning:

The State Pension forecast calculator projects your eventual entitlement based on your NI record and shows what voluntary top-ups would add.

See your State Pension projection

The State Pension forecast calculator uses your NI record and projected uprating to show your eventual weekly entitlement.

Open the State Pension forecast calculator →

Sources and methodology

Triple lock policy from gov.uk/state-pension and Department for Work and Pensions. Historical uprating from DWP Statistics. New State Pension qualifying years from gov.uk/new-state-pension.

UK Tax Drag is not authorised by the Financial Conduct Authority and does not provide regulated financial advice — see the content disclaimer for the full position. The methodology page documents how every calculator is built and reviewed.

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